Free Forex Signals – Risk of Volatility Ahead

EURUSD Daily Analysis: Its been a fundamentally eventful start to the year for the global economy’s central banks – the SNB removing its peg, the ECB announcing a 1.1 trillion euro stimulus package, and now Yellen privately hinting to US lawmakers that a rise in interest rates might not come as soon as the markets expect. The technicals, as usual, reflect this recent uncertainty in the form of a triangle consolidation pattern (pennant) over the course of the week.
We remain technically bearish on the pair under its 10-day moving average (it has been under this level since mid-December) at 1.1350, though we really need a break above 1.1450 (above the 61.8% retracement level) to confirm the medium-term downtrend has ended.
4h Chart
Our Preferred Trades*: While we prefer shorts under 1.1450 at the moment there is too much risk in the trend for a reversal (especially after Yellen’s comments above and with US GDP coming out tomorrow), making a profitable reward/risk ratio difficult to achieve. We will stay flat before the weekend in this pair.
Long-term Trend Analysis Chart
Yesterday’s EURUSD SwingPRO Signal Result: No EURUSD trades to report on.
Today’s SwingPRO Signal: Flat before the weekend on mixed technicals.
*CandlePRO: CandlePRO can be used in conjunction with our daily analysis and “our preferred trades.” For example, if we prefer “going short” or “selling a rally” then we would look for bearish candlestick signals after a rally or near resistance levels. Alternative if we prefer “going long” or “buying a dip” then we would look for bullish candlestick signals on price drops or near support levels.
Today’s Important News Events:
Date Time (UTC) Event Actual Forecast Previous
Fri
Jan 30
00:05 GBP GfK Consumer Confidence Survey (JAN) 1 -2 -4
05:00 JPY Housing Starts (YoY) (DEC) -14.7% -14.8% -14.3%
05:00 JPY Annualized Housing Starts (DEC) 0.883M 0.900M 0.888M
07:00 EUR German Retail Sales (YoY) (DEC)
3.6% -0.8%
08:00 CHF KOF Leading Indicator (JAN)
94.7 98.7
09:30 GBP Net Consumer Credit (DEC)
1.2B 1.3B
09:30 GBP Net Lending Sec. on Dwellings (DEC)
1.9B 2.1B
09:30 GBP Mortgage Approvals (DEC)
59.0K 59.0K
10:00 EUR Euro-Zone Unemployment Rate (DEC)
11.5% 11.5%
10:00 EUR Euro-Zone Consumer Price Index Estimate (YoY) (JAN)
-0.5% -0.2%
10:00 EUR Euro-Zone Consumer Price Index – Core (YoY) (JAN A)
0.7% 0.7%
13:30 USD Gross Domestic Product (Annualized) (4Q A)
3.0% 5.0%
13:30 USD Personal Consumption (4Q A)
4.0% 3.2%
13:30 USD Gross Domestic Product Price Index (4Q A)
0.9% 1.4%
13:30 USD Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (QoQ) (4Q A)
1.1% 1.4%
15:00 USD U. of Michigan Confidence (JAN F)
98.2 98.2

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