Showing posts with label Support and resistance. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Support and resistance. Show all posts

19 December 2014

Support and Resistance Levels: Technical Analysis

Support and Resistance Levels: Technical Analysis

What is Support and Resistance

In technical analysis the lows and highs of the trend are identified by their appropriate names, which are support and resistance levels respectively. These levels are the areas where most traders are willing either to buy or sell an asset.
Support level indicates the area where the buying interest is high and exceeds the selling pressure. At this level the price is considered very attractive for taking long positions and most traders choose to buy an asset when the price approaches a support level.
Resistance level represents the area where the selling interest is high and exceeds the buying pressure. Traders are willing to take short positions and sell an asset when the price approaches this area.

How to Draw Support and Resistance Lines

Support and resistance levels form an essential part of technical analysis used to identify the trend and make trading decisions. They test, as well as confirm trends and should be applied by every trader who uses technical analysis.
Support level is marked by a line which connects previous lows. Depending on the primary trend (prevailing direction of price movements) it can be marked either by a sloping line or a horizontal line.
  • In an upward trend the trendline connecting the lows is considered a support with positive slope.
  • In a sideways trend the lower trendline is considered a horizontal support.
Resistance level is marked by a line connecting previous highs. Depending on the primary trend a resistance level can also be marked either by a sloping line or a horizontal line.
  • In a downward trend the trendline connecting the highs is considered a resistance with negative slope.
  • In a sideways trend the upper trendline is considered a horizontal resistance.
Technical Analysis: Resistance LineFor identifying an uptrend each successive support level should be higher than the preceding one and each successive resistance level should be higher than the one preceding it. Otherwise, for instance, when the support level falls down to the previous low, this indicates that either the uptrend comes to an end or at least it changes into a sideways trend.
Conversely, for identifying a downtrend each successive support level should be lower than the previous one and each successive resistance should be lower than the previous one. When a support level comes higher than the previous one, this signals a change in the existing trend.
An uptrend is inclined to reverse into a downtrend once the successive higher highs and higher lows change into successive lower highs and lower lows. And conversely, a downtrend can reverse into an uptrend when the lower highs and lower lows turn into successive higher highs and higher lows. In other words, a resistance level becomes a support level, and a support level becomes a resistance level.
This kind of reversal at support and resistance levels in technical analysis is referred to as “rally”, “correction” or “trend reversal”.
  • In case a support level is broken below (plus certain deviation is possible), investors may assume that the price will keep on falling. The former support becomes a new resistance level which is expected to hold rallies.
  • In case a resistance level is broken above (plus certain deviation is possible), investors may assume that the price will keep on growing. The former resistance becomes a new support level which is expected to hold declines.
The trend is expected to continue as long as the asset price remains between support and resistance levels.

Support and Resistance Trading Strategy

The rationale of support level is that as the price gets closer to this area, buyers see a better deal and are willing to buy, while sellers see a worse deal and are less likely to sell. However, support cannot always hold prices. And when prices break below the support level this indicates that sellers may have a good opportunity to sell the asset.
On the other hand, the main premise behind resistance is that as the price gets closer to the resistance level sellers get more willing to sell an asset, while buyers will be less inclined to buy. A break above the resistance level indicates an increased willingness to buy.
A reversal between support and resistance levels can be either a positive or a negative change against the prevailing trend. It is crucial for analysts and market participants, because depending on the signals of these patterns they adopt a trading strategy on the same security.

29 November 2013

TradingCentral analyses

EUR/USD    GBP/USD    USD/CHF    USD/JPY    USD/CAD    AUD/USD   

29.11.2013 07:17 GMT+1 - EUR/USD intraday: the bias remains bullish.

Pivot: 1.3585.
Our preference: LONG positions @ 1.36 with 1.3655 & 1.369 as next targets.
Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1.3585 will call for 1.356 & 1.352.
Comment: the pair remains within a bullish channel.

    TOP

29.11.2013 07:20 GMT+1 - GBP/USD intraday: the bias remains bullish.

Pivot: 1.6290.
Our preference: LONG positions above 1.629 with 1.6395 & 1.6425 as next targets.
Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1.629 will call for 1.625 & 1.6195.
Comment: the pair remains on the upside and is challenging its resistance.


29.11.2013 07:23 GMT+1 - USD/CHF intraday: bullish bias above 0.904

Pivot: 0.9040.
Our preference: LONG positions above 0.904 with 0.9085 & 0.911 in sight.
Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 0.904 will call for 0.9015 & 0.899.
Comment: the pair stands above its support, the RSI lacks momentum.

  

29.11.2013 07:22 GMT+1 - USD/JPY intraday: the upside prevails.

Pivot: 101.90.
Our preference: LONG positions @ 102 with targets @ 102.65 & 102.9.
Alternative scenario: The downside breakout of 101.9 will open the way to 101.6 & 101.15.
Comment: the pair is pulling back on its support ahead of further advance.


29.11.2013 07:31 GMT+1 - USD/CAD intraday: bullish bias above 1.0555.

Pivot: 1.0555
Our preference: Long positions above 1.0555 with targets @ 1.061 & 1.063 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 1.0555 look for further downside with 1.0515 & 1.0485 as targets.
Comment: the break above 1.0555 is a positive signal that has opened a path to 1.061.


29.11.2013 07:29 GMT+1 - AUD/USD intraday: the downside prevails.

Pivot: 0.914
Our preference: Short positions below 0.914 with targets @ 0.903 & 0.9 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 0.914 look for further upside with 0.9175 & 0.9205 as targets.
Comment: the pair has returned to its previous low and should post further downside.

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